Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.136487 0.199379 0.272001 0.359829 0.461220 0.572933 0.703775
2026-01-25 0.056635 0.128532 0.228175 0.364043 0.535111 0.736087 0.983643
2026-02-01 0.017955 0.077748 0.180433 0.336573 0.546846 0.805149 1.133787
2026-02-08 0.001742 0.040780 0.136234 0.301515 0.539930 0.845232 1.244847
2026-02-15 NaN 0.023176 0.113829 0.290407 0.559119 0.913653 1.386809
2026-02-22 NaN 0.014744 0.104341 0.296367 0.600018 1.008832 1.561400
2026-03-01 NaN 0.007572 0.091388 0.293136 0.625666 1.082763 1.708492
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002104 0.073523 0.276549 0.628795 1.124899 1.813884
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001484 0.076928 0.301234 0.695268 1.253379 2.031041
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001051 0.080727 0.326695 0.763136 1.384109 2.251618
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000385 0.079296 0.340650 0.812738 1.489752 2.439842
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000396 0.086919 0.374482 0.894354 1.640173 2.687044
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000174 0.089791 0.399561 0.964909 1.779315 2.925137
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.083068 0.402687 1.000458 1.870609 3.102081
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.064442 0.373968 0.981755 1.884289 3.175729
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.045284 0.336700 0.945202 1.870407 3.211208
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.036786 0.324917 0.950587 1.915541 3.324437
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.034420 0.331247 0.987822 2.007059 3.500243
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.029575 0.327814 1.006967 2.071833 3.639872
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.021789 0.310169 0.998775 2.095499 3.723260
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.024944 0.336419 1.072903 2.242161 3.974819
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.028319 0.363433 1.148526 2.391199 4.229854
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.028676 0.378216 1.201300 2.506287 4.438768